It is widely held that Bayesian decision theory is the final word on how a rational person should make decisions. However, Leonard Savage--the inventor of Bayesian decision theory--argued that it would be ridiculous to use his theory outside the kind of small world in which it is always possible to "look before you leap." If taken seriously, this view makes Bayesian decision th...(展开全部)

It is widely held that Bayesian decision theory is the final word on how a rational person should make decisions. However, Leonard Savage - the inventor of Bayesian decision theory - argued that it would be ridiculous to use his theory outside the kind of small world in which it is always possible to 'look before you leap.' If taken seriously, this view makes Bayesian decision ...(展开全部)

Scott Sturgeon presents an original account of mental states and their dynamics. He develops a detailed story of coarse- and fine-grained mental states, a novel perspective on how they fit together, an engaging theory of the rational transitions between them, and a fresh view of how formal methods can advance our understanding in this area. In doing so, he addresses a deep four...(展开全部)

《理性男性》是一种理性且务实的两性动态研究方法，探讨了两性关系的社会与心理基础。这本书是作者/博主Rollo Tomassi在其网站therationalmale.com上十年核心写作的结集。 Rollo Tomassi是全球男性聚焦的在线联盟“男半球”中的领军人物之一。 书中概述了积极的男性气概、女本位议程、转盘子理论、操作性社会规范以及Game意识和“红丸”思想背后的核心心理理论。Tomassi解释并梳理了两性社会动态的原则及其背后的基础逻辑。

In a series of lectures at the Central European University in Budapest in October of 2009, George Soros provided a broad overview of his thoughts on economics and politics. The lectures are the culmination of a lifetime of practical and philosophical reflection. In the first and second lecture, Soros discusses his general theory of reflexivity and its application to financial ...(展开全部)

In a series of lectures at the Central European University in Budapest in October of 2009, George Soros provided a broad overview of his thoughts on economics and politics. The lectures are the culmination of a lifetime of practical and philosophical reflection. In the first and second lecture, Soros discusses his general theory of reflexivity and its application to financial ...(展开全部)

The Fast-Paced, Fun-to-Read Guide to Making Better Decisions!How much information do you really need to make a business decision? Why don't past winners keep on winning? When should you fold your hand, and when should you press on? In "The Art of Decisions," Chris Blake reveals the amazing hidden realities beneath human decision making-and helps you optimize every decision you ...(展开全部)

米娜·杜莱辛甘 组织心理学家，同时经营着一家名为TalentInvest的咨询公司。她做了30多年与组织效率和领导者发展相关的咨询工作，客户群体遍布全球公司。她还是一位认证高管教练，帮助高层团队和高管个人提高团队效率和董事会效率。她已发表了多篇论文，出版了多本畅销书。 沃尔夫冈·莱马赫 Corporate Value Associates的合伙人兼总经理（大中华区和印度区）。他曾经担任法国邮政下属GeoPost Intercontinental的CEO与董事会成员，拥有20多年的高级管理经验。